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The question you're asking is a well-known paradox in probability theory, sometimes called a "self-referential probability paradox". The paradox arises because the question is essentially asking about its own probability.

Let's try to work it out:

If 25% is the correct answer (option A or D), there are two possibilities for that answer in the options. Thus, the chance of picking 25% would be 2 out of 4, which is 50% - contradicting the initial assumption that 25% is the correct answer.

If 50% is the correct answer (option C), there is one such option out of four, hence the probability would be 1 out of 4, which is 25% - again, a contradiction.

If 0% is the correct answer (option B), it means there's no chance of picking the right answer, but by selecting 0%, you've just done that, leading to yet another contradiction.

As you can see, none of the options lead to a consistent answer, making the question a paradox. It does not have a traditional "correct" answer.

talaipwros έγραψε: ↑

04 Ιουν 2023, 01:16

The question you're asking is a well-known paradox in probability theory, sometimes called a "self-referential probability paradox". The paradox arises because the question is essentially asking about its own probability.

Let's try to work it out:

If 25% is the correct answer (option A or D), there are two possibilities for that answer in the options. Thus, the chance of picking 25% would be 2 out of 4, which is 50% - contradicting the initial assumption that 25% is the correct answer.

If 50% is the correct answer (option C), there is one such option out of four, hence the probability would be 1 out of 4, which is 25% - again, a contradiction.

If 0% is the correct answer (option B), it means there's no chance of picking the right answer, but by selecting 0%, you've just done that, leading to yet another contradiction.

As you can see, none of the options lead to a consistent answer, making the question a paradox. It does not have a traditional "correct" answer.

Spiros252 έγραψε: ↑

04 Ιουν 2023, 21:57

Θεωρείς λοιπόν ότι η "σωστή" πιθανότητα είναι

Spiros252 έγραψε: ↑

05 Ιουν 2023, 11:17

Αυτή θα ήταν εξαιρετικά ασαφής διατύπωση. Από πόσες διαθέσιμες απαντήσεις; Αναφέρεται σε ερωτήσεις του ίδιου παιχνιδιού; Υποθέτοντας το τελευταίο θα ήταν 25%

Αλλά τί σημαίνει το "you will be correct"? στο ποσοστό της πιθανότητας ή στο να κερδίσεις την ερώτηση?

Spiros252 έγραψε: ↑

05 Ιουν 2023, 11:17

Αλλά τί σημαίνει το "you will be correct"? στο ποσοστό της πιθανότητας ή στο να κερδίσεις την ερώτηση?

Εκτωρ έγραψε: ↑

31 Ιούλ 2023, 00:27

Η σωστή ερώτηση θα έπρεπε να είναι: "Πόσο μαλάκας παίζει να είσαι που πίστεψες ότι θα σου δίναμε ποτέ 100.000 ευρώ;"